Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 73.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 82.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Evans
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Evans
Sundqvist
Last 6: Evans 5-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
41.3% (492)
+13.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
56.3% (16)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
43.2% (81)
+2.9%
On even strength, Evans has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Sundqvist is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Evans
Sundqvist
Home
53.7% (581)
43.3% (275)
Away
50.5% (556)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Evans
Sundqvist
P1
54.6%
43.3%
P2
50.0%
41.8%
P3
52.3%
40.1%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jake Evans |