Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Zacha 50.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 67.9%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 70.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 68.3%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Sundqvist
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sundqvist
Zacha
Last 5: Sundqvist 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Sundqvist
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
48.0% (296)
-1.2%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
61.0% (59)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (21)
50.0% (22)
-35.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sundqvist is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Sundqvist shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Zacha
Home
42.3% (97)
48.9% (223)
Away
40.0% (85)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Sundqvist
Zacha
P1
46.0%
47.9%
P2
45.9%
48.3%
P3
32.1%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
36.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |