Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Zacha 49.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 68.6%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 83.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 69.1%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Sundqvist
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Sundqvist
Zacha
Last 10: Sundqvist 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
8
Sundqvist
Zacha
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
7
6
Sundqvist
Zacha
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
5
Sundqvist
Zacha
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
48.9% (5,102)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
55.6% (804)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
42.2% (555)
-0.6%
On even strength, Zacha has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Sundqvist shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Zacha
Home
44.2% (1,584)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Sundqvist
Zacha
P1
42.8%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
49.2%
P3
43.7%
48.1%
OT
60.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |