Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs Zacha 52.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.9%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 83.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 62.5%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Sundqvist
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sundqvist
Zacha
Last 8: Sundqvist 3-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Sundqvist
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
1
Sundqvist
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
54.1% (534)
-9.1%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
56.0% (109)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
44.8% (96)
+1.2%
On even strength, Zacha has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Zacha
Home
45.5% (255)
53.4% (406)
Away
45.4% (317)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Sundqvist
Zacha
P1
40.9%
56.8%
P2
46.9%
53.6%
P3
48.4%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |