Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 43.1% vs Donato 46.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 84.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 51.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 63.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Sundqvist
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Sundqvist
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
0
Sundqvist
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (492)
44.4% (180)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
43.2% (37)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
40.0% (5)
+3.2%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Sundqvist shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Donato
Home
43.3% (275)
45.4% (97)
Away
40.8% (314)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Sundqvist
Donato
P1
43.3%
36.2%
P2
41.8%
48.6%
P3
40.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |