Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 44.6%). Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs Donato 45.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 77.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 71.2%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 54.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Sundqvist
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sundqvist
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Sundqvist
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
43.5% (400)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
48.7% (119)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
33.3% (6)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Donato
Home
45.5% (255)
50.2% (279)
Away
45.4% (317)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Sundqvist
Donato
P1
40.9%
44.6%
P2
46.9%
46.6%
P3
48.4%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |