Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 44.5%). Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Donato 44.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Sundqvist leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 83.5%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 72.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Sundqvist
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Sundqvist
Donato
Last 10: Sundqvist 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Sundqvist
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
4
0
Sundqvist
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
4
0
Sundqvist
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
44.2% (1,179)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
46.3% (246)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
36.4% (11)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Sundqvist shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Donato
Home
44.2% (1,584)
47.2% (743)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Sundqvist
Donato
P1
42.8%
43.4%
P2
45.6%
45.1%
P3
43.7%
44.4%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |