Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 48.7% vs Hertl 54.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 71.5%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 74.4%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 68.7%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Sundqvist
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Sundqvist
Hertl
Last 10: Sundqvist 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
4
Sundqvist
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Sundqvist
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Sundqvist
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (165)
55.7% (648)
-10.9%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
60.4% (149)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (66)
42.2% (83)
+10.8%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sundqvist is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Sundqvist shoots right. Hertl is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Hertl
Home
47.1% (119)
58.3% (391)
Away
49.2% (120)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Sundqvist
Hertl
P1
48.0%
58.9%
P2
46.6%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
76.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |