Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Sundqvist wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 68.4%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 67.4%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 69.0%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Sundqvist
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Sundqvist
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Sundqvist
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
51.6% (1,084)
-4.8%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
61.0% (246)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (21)
44.1% (136)
-29.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sundqvist is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Sundqvist shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Hertl
Home
42.3% (97)
55.2% (696)
Away
40.0% (85)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Sundqvist
Hertl
P1
46.0%
55.4%
P2
45.9%
54.8%
P3
32.1%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |