Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Kelly 43.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 93.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 89.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Eller
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Eller
Kelly
Last 5: Eller 5-0 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
44.8% (556)
+8.0%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
0.0% (2)
+69.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
36.8% (144)
+8.7%
On power play, Eller has a +69.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Eller
Kelly
Home
52.6% (340)
44.8% (368)
Away
51.8% (411)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Eller
Kelly
P1
52.4%
46.7%
P2
54.1%
48.0%
P3
50.0%
34.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |