Scouting Report
Peyton Krebs holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 43.9% vs Krebs 49.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 50.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 75.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 59.4%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Kelly
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kelly
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
3
Kelly
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (556)
49.5% (560)
-4.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
52.6% (38)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (144)
43.3% (67)
-6.5%
On power play, Krebs has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Kelly shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kelly
Krebs
Home
44.8% (368)
49.4% (314)
Away
41.0% (334)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Kelly
Krebs
P1
46.7%
47.0%
P2
48.0%
50.5%
P3
34.8%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |