Scouting Report
Peyton Krebs holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.6% vs Krebs 45.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 57.9%
Defensive zone
Krebs 68.6%
Neutral zone
Krebs 56.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Kelly
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kelly
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (157)
44.6% (388)
-8.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
45.0% (20)
+0.5%
On power play, Krebs has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kelly shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Kelly
Krebs
Home
35.9% (78)
46.8% (188)
Away
37.4% (91)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Kelly
Krebs
P1
34.3%
47.2%
P2
36.0%
44.9%
P3
40.4%
41.1%
Final 5 min
37.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |