Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 39.9% vs Trenin 44.8% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Trenin 53.3%
Defensive zone
Trenin 50.7%
Neutral zone
Trenin 50.5%
Result
Yakov Trenin favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kelly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (123)
39.8% (83)
-7.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.2% (17)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Trenin has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Kelly is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Kelly shoots left. Trenin is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trenin
Home
31.7% (60)
46.0% (50)
Away
32.9% (73)
33.3% (51)
By Period
Kelly
Trenin
P1
26.9%
42.2%
P2
34.3%
34.5%
P3
37.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
31.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
32.3%
Trenin
46.0%▲
40.0%
39.6%