Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 17.2% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Trenin 46.6% (-21.1%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 66.6%
Defensive zone
Trenin 68.5%
Neutral zone
Trenin 55.5%
Result
Yakov Trenin favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kelly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
22.9% (35)
46.5% (144)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
41.9% (74)
-14.6%
On even strength, Trenin has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Kelly is 17.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Kelly shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trenin
Home
23.8% (21)
45.7% (129)
Away
24.0% (25)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Kelly
Trenin
P1
22.2%
47.5%
P2
23.5%
52.6%
P3
27.3%
32.3%
Final 5 min
20.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
23.9%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%