Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.6% vs Trenin 44.5% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Trenin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.2%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kelly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (157)
40.0% (90)
-3.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
40.0% (20)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kelly shoots left. Trenin is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trenin
Home
35.9% (78)
45.5% (55)
Away
37.4% (91)
33.9% (56)
By Period
Kelly
Trenin
P1
34.3%
39.2%
P2
36.0%
38.7%
P3
40.4%
41.4%
Final 5 min
37.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%