Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Trenin 43.6% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Trenin 58.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 62.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.5%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kelly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (756)
42.8% (355)
-0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
37.2% (172)
41.0% (105)
-3.8%
On power play, Trenin has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Kelly shoots left. Trenin is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trenin
Home
42.5% (475)
45.6% (248)
Away
39.3% (456)
38.5% (218)
By Period
Kelly
Trenin
P1
42.4%
42.4%
P2
44.7%
47.7%
P3
35.7%
35.2%
Final 5 min
35.8%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
42.3%