Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Trenin 43.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Trenin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 64.2%
Neutral zone
Trenin 50.4%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kelly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (722)
42.8% (348)
-1.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (170)
41.2% (102)
-4.7%
On power play, Trenin has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Kelly shoots left. Trenin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trenin
Home
42.2% (457)
45.7% (243)
Away
38.6% (438)
38.5% (213)
By Period
Kelly
Trenin
P1
41.5%
43.2%
P2
44.9%
47.0%
P3
35.1%
35.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Trenin
46.0%▲
40.0%
42.3%