Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 68.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 67.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Pavelski
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Pavelski
Bergeron
Last 10: Pavelski 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Pavelski
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Pavelski
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Pavelski
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
56.2% (940)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
61.6% (284)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
50.3% (165)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Pavelski is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pavelski shoots right. Bergeron is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (461).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bergeron
Home
55.2% (458)
57.7% (712)
Away
51.4% (531)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Pavelski
Bergeron
P1
54.0%
55.0%
P2
54.5%
57.1%
P3
50.5%
58.2%
OT
60.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |