Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 32.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 43.9% vs Bergeron 56.2% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 85.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 89.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 90.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Eller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Eller
Bergeron
Last 8: Eller 1-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Eller
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Eller
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (402)
57.3% (1,041)
-14.3%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
60.4% (149)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
51.3% (234)
+15.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Eller is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Eller shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Eller
Bergeron
Home
44.6% (184)
59.8% (682)
Away
40.9% (247)
53.8% (757)
By Period
Eller
Bergeron
P1
45.3%
58.2%
P2
41.5%
58.1%
P3
39.9%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
40.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |