Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Stastny 54.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 69.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 69.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Lizotte
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lizotte
Stastny
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Lizotte
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Lizotte
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
53.6% (859)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
59.9% (202)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
55.1% (78)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lizotte is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Lizotte shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stastny
Home
48.5% (336)
56.9% (596)
Away
52.1% (286)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Lizotte
Stastny
P1
48.2%
53.9%
P2
54.1%
56.2%
P3
47.1%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |