Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Stastny 55.6% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 65.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Coyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Stastny
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Coyle
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
56.5% (967)
-10.5%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
58.4% (125)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
50.8% (128)
-4.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coyle is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Coyle shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stastny
Home
45.8% (251)
56.8% (590)
Away
45.0% (251)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Coyle
Stastny
P1
49.7%
59.7%
P2
46.9%
54.8%
P3
39.8%
53.8%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |