Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Stastny 55.4% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 91.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 78.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Coyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Stastny
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (201)
55.4% (1,004)
-8.6%
Power Play
41.3% (46)
59.0% (210)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
54.1% (196)
+45.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Coyle is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stastny
Home
46.3% (149)
56.5% (717)
Away
45.5% (99)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Coyle
Stastny
P1
43.7%
56.7%
P2
46.3%
57.7%
P3
49.4%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |