Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Stastny 54.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 77.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Tierney
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Tierney
Stastny
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Tierney
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
0
Tierney
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Tierney
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
52.5% (432)
-6.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
60.4% (154)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
66.7% (6)
-28.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Tierney is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Tierney shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stastny
Home
49.3% (286)
58.3% (307)
Away
42.1% (304)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Tierney
Stastny
P1
48.5%
57.4%
P2
41.1%
51.7%
P3
48.1%
54.5%
OT
25.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
36.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |