Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Stastny 54.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 77.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 58.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Lazar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lazar
Stastny
Last 8: Lazar 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Lazar
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Lazar
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
53.6% (859)
+0.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.9% (202)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
55.1% (78)
-13.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lazar is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Lazar shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stastny
Home
53.1% (211)
56.9% (596)
Away
48.7% (150)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Lazar
Stastny
P1
45.3%
53.9%
P2
52.8%
56.2%
P3
54.7%
54.4%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
58.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |