Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 51.2% vs Stastny 54.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 85.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 62.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Lindholm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Lindholm
Stastny
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
6
Lindholm
Stastny
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
12
2
Lindholm
Stastny
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (698)
52.5% (432)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.3% (115)
60.4% (154)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
66.7% (6)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lindholm is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Lindholm shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stastny
Home
49.7% (471)
58.3% (307)
Away
52.9% (520)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Lindholm
Stastny
P1
53.8%
57.4%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
49.4%
54.5%
OT
37.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 1, 2021 | OT | 04:57 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 1, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |