Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.7% vs Stastny 54.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 57.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 87.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Paul
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Paul
Stastny
Last 10: Paul 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
14
Paul
Stastny
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
0
Paul
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Paul
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (274)
52.5% (432)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
60.4% (154)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
66.7% (6)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Paul shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Paul
Stastny
Home
52.3% (235)
58.3% (307)
Away
51.9% (185)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Paul
Stastny
P1
53.2%
57.4%
P2
53.8%
51.7%
P3
49.3%
54.5%
OT
55.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Nick Paul |