Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 72.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Stastny
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
56.1% (690)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
64.6% (96)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
45.9% (109)
-1.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Stastny
O'Reilly
Home
58.3% (276)
58.3% (408)
Away
56.7% (210)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Stastny
O'Reilly
P1
63.7%
57.7%
P2
57.3%
54.8%
P3
50.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%