Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 15 meetings). Stastny wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 52.1% vs Gagner 44.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 26-10 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 83.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 96.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Stastny
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
10
(36 meetings)
26
10
Stastny
Gagner
Last 10: Stastny 9-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
5
Stastny
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
15
0
Stastny
Gagner
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
5
Stastny
Gagner
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (588)
42.1% (575)
+8.9%
Power Play
60.6% (104)
55.3% (123)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (89)
34.9% (43)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stastny is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Stastny shoots left. Gagner is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Stastny
Gagner
Home
54.0% (400)
45.6% (375)
Away
50.7% (381)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Stastny
Gagner
P1
57.8%
40.1%
P2
52.5%
42.2%
P3
47.5%
48.2%
OT
41.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |