Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +27.2% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Gagner 43.8% (+27.2%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 54.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 60.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Stastny
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
31.0% (29)
+26.5%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
29.4% (17)
+30.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Stastny
Gagner
Home
58.3% (276)
36.8% (19)
Away
56.7% (210)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Stastny
Gagner
P1
63.7%
27.8%
P2
57.3%
15.4%
P3
50.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%