Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 32 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Gagner 46.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 60-32 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 89.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 97.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 96.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Stastny
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
32
(92 meetings)
60
32
Stastny
Gagner
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
20
14
Stastny
Gagner
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
26
6
Stastny
Gagner
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
14
12
Stastny
Gagner
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
45.4% (4,699)
+9.2%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
51.5% (928)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
35.0% (226)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Stastny
Gagner
Home
55.9% (7,073)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Stastny
Gagner
P1
56.3%
44.6%
P2
55.4%
46.1%
P3
53.5%
47.3%
OT
62.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |