Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Gagner 47.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 55.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 67.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Stastny
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stastny
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
51.3% (158)
+7.9%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
66.7% (36)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
33.6% (110)
+18.1%
On power play, Gagner has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Stastny
Gagner
Home
57.7% (215)
53.2% (154)
Away
55.6% (257)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Stastny
Gagner
P1
57.7%
35.6%
P2
54.2%
52.7%
P3
57.7%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |