Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 74.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 67.9%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Stastny
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stastny
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
40.9% (232)
+18.3%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
100.0% (1)
-59.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
40.0% (30)
+11.7%
On power play, Lafferty has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Stastny
Lafferty
Home
57.7% (215)
38.2% (123)
Away
55.6% (257)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Stastny
Lafferty
P1
57.7%
41.6%
P2
54.2%
36.7%
P3
57.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |