Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 57.3% vs Karlsson 48.1% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 51.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Stastny
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stastny
Karlsson
Last 5: Stastny 2-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Stastny
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (959)
49.4% (164)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.8% (125)
37.5% (32)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (74)
0.0% (1)
+58.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Stastny shoots left. Karlsson is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Stastny
Karlsson
Home
55.9% (590)
49.1% (112)
Away
60.0% (568)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Stastny
Karlsson
P1
59.6%
41.2%
P2
59.0%
44.8%
P3
55.3%
57.4%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
65.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |