Paul Stastny vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 61.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Stastny
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
Stastny
Karlsson
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
4
Stastny
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
10
Stastny
Karlsson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
2
Stastny
Karlsson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
51.8% (7,849)
+2.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
54.8% (1,048)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
44.2% (1,109)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Stastny
Karlsson
Home
55.9% (7,073)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Stastny
Karlsson
P1
56.3%
50.3%
P2
55.4%
51.3%
P3
53.5%
52.4%
OT
62.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |