Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 70.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Stastny
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
55.3% (897)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
61.1% (113)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
50.8% (132)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Stastny
Karlsson
Home
58.3% (276)
58.6% (560)
Away
56.7% (210)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Stastny
Karlsson
P1
63.7%
55.8%
P2
57.3%
55.6%
P3
50.4%
55.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%