Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 45.3% vs Hintz 52.6% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 75.0%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 71.2%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 68.3%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Buchnevich
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Buchnevich
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Buchnevich
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Buchnevich
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (30)
52.9% (526)
-16.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.4% (108)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
42.5% (40)
-42.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hintz
Home
31.3% (16)
53.8% (329)
Away
34.8% (23)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hintz
P1
35.7%
55.6%
P2
33.3%
53.0%
P3
30.8%
51.7%
Final 5 min
16.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |