Pavel Buchnevich vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Buchnevich wins 32.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 35.4% vs McLeod 49.6% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 68.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 92.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 88.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Buchnevich
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Buchnevich
McLeod
Last 10: Buchnevich 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
3
2
Buchnevich
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
0
Buchnevich
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Buchnevich
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (895)
50.4% (3,345)
-16.7%
Power Play
44.2% (52)
51.0% (292)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
24.3% (37)
44.3% (635)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Buchnevich shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
McLeod
Home
34.7% (490)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
33.2% (494)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Buchnevich
McLeod
P1
34.4%
50.8%
P2
33.7%
48.4%
P3
33.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
37.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |