Pavel Buchnevich vs Ryan McLeod

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan McLeod holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Buchnevich 45.3% vs McLeod 46.6% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone Buchnevich 68.5%
Defensive zone McLeod 73.8%
Neutral zone McLeod 58.1%
Result Ryan McLeod favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Buchnevich McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Buchnevich
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (78)
48.2% (587)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
49.3% (67)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
39.5% (210)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +19.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Buchnevich shoots left. McLeod is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
McLeod
Home
40.0% (60)
47.3% (450)
Away
40.6% (32)
44.9% (414)
By Period
Buchnevich
McLeod
P1
38.1%
52.6%
P2
30.8%
43.3%
P3
54.5%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
43.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
40.0%
41.0%
40.2%
McLeod
50.0%
50.5%
46.2%