Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Buchnevich wins 32.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.2% vs McLeod 52.1% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 53.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 87.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 74.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Buchnevich
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Buchnevich
McLeod
Last 9: Buchnevich 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
3
1
Buchnevich
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Buchnevich
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (211)
52.9% (904)
-15.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
57.6% (59)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
49.0% (241)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Buchnevich shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
McLeod
Home
35.6% (87)
51.8% (612)
Away
38.3% (141)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Buchnevich
McLeod
P1
36.3%
55.4%
P2
37.6%
50.8%
P3
38.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
36.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |