Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.5% vs McLeod 50.7% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 82.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 81.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 79.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 81.0%
19.0%
81.0%
Buchnevich
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Buchnevich
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Buchnevich
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
0
Buchnevich
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
0
Buchnevich
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (197)
51.3% (628)
-13.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
68.3% (41)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
30.6% (49)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Buchnevich shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
McLeod
Home
43.0% (114)
51.5% (394)
Away
30.4% (92)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Buchnevich
McLeod
P1
40.0%
51.5%
P2
35.7%
47.0%
P3
35.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |