Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.8%). Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Zacha 54.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.6%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 80.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 54.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Goodrow
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Goodrow
Zacha
Last 9: Goodrow 3-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Goodrow
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Goodrow
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
53.9% (787)
+1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
63.2% (193)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
44.3% (88)
+0.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Zacha
Home
57.2% (332)
56.7% (538)
Away
50.3% (292)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Goodrow
Zacha
P1
50.8%
52.6%
P2
59.5%
54.8%
P3
51.8%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |