Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Zacha 52.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Staal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Zacha
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Staal
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Staal
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
54.1% (534)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
56.0% (109)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
44.8% (96)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Staal
Zacha
Home
54.3% (667)
53.4% (406)
Away
54.7% (662)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Staal
Zacha
P1
56.2%
56.8%
P2
57.0%
53.6%
P3
49.7%
49.2%
OT
68.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |