Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 77.2%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zacha
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
53.2% (299)
-5.2%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
33.3% (3)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
46.5% (86)
+3.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Zacha
Carpenter
Home
48.9% (223)
54.6% (207)
Away
51.9% (154)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Zacha
Carpenter
P1
47.9%
52.3%
P2
48.3%
51.5%
P3
54.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%