Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 66.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Zacha
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
53.1% (113)
-7.8%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
100.0% (1)
-41.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
60.0% (10)
-37.8%
On power play, Carpenter has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Zacha
Carpenter
Home
39.7% (131)
58.5% (65)
Away
49.7% (165)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Zacha
Carpenter
P1
42.9%
65.8%
P2
46.4%
50.0%
P3
42.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
38.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%