Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Strome 44.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 61.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 59.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Zacha
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Zacha
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
43.0% (788)
+2.3%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
47.9% (96)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
50.0% (34)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Zacha
Strome
Home
39.7% (131)
42.6% (486)
Away
49.7% (165)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Zacha
Strome
P1
42.9%
41.0%
P2
46.4%
47.8%
P3
42.3%
42.1%
OT
87.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |