Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Strome 42.3% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 52.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Zacha
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zacha
Strome
Last 5: Zacha 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Zacha
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
41.2% (1,040)
+12.9%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
43.0% (151)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
51.4% (35)
-6.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Zacha
Strome
Home
53.4% (406)
40.1% (581)
Away
52.9% (333)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Zacha
Strome
P1
56.8%
41.4%
P2
53.6%
42.9%
P3
49.2%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |