Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Strome 45.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 76.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Zacha
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zacha
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
44.2% (267)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
37.0% (27)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
50.0% (4)
-11.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Zacha
Strome
Home
51.7% (410)
42.0% (157)
Away
52.2% (408)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Zacha
Strome
P1
57.7%
40.0%
P2
48.9%
46.4%
P3
50.2%
44.0%
OT
35.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |