Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 42.0% vs Gagner 48.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 85.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 59.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 65.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Zacha
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Zacha
Gagner
Last 8: Zacha 5-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (399)
46.5% (310)
-5.6%
Power Play
39.5% (43)
50.4% (115)
-10.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zacha is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Zacha shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Zacha
Gagner
Home
41.4% (261)
52.4% (212)
Away
38.8% (196)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Zacha
Gagner
P1
38.6%
46.2%
P2
44.4%
52.2%
P3
36.9%
43.6%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |