Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Gagner 47.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 77.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 69.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Zacha
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
51.3% (158)
-3.3%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
66.7% (36)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
33.6% (110)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Zacha
Gagner
Home
48.9% (223)
53.2% (154)
Away
51.9% (154)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Zacha
Gagner
P1
47.9%
35.6%
P2
48.3%
52.7%
P3
54.3%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |