Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Gagner 52.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 71.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 59.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Zacha
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
76.5% (17)
-22.6%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
28.6% (7)
+34.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Zacha
Gagner
Home
56.7% (538)
75.0% (16)
Away
52.8% (530)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Zacha
Gagner
P1
52.6%
25.0%
P2
54.8%
64.3%
P3
56.8%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |