Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Gagner 46.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 78.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Zacha
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Zacha
Gagner
Last 10: Zacha 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
1
Zacha
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
45.4% (4,699)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
51.5% (928)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
35.0% (226)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Zacha
Gagner
Home
49.7% (3,353)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Zacha
Gagner
P1
49.9%
44.6%
P2
49.2%
46.1%
P3
48.1%
47.3%
OT
53.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |